2024

1. Harries, M., Klett-Tammen, C. J., Rodiah, I., Dulovic, A., Jaeger, V. K., Krepel, J., Contreras, S., Maak, K., Marsall, P., Möller, A., Heise, J.-K., Castell, S., group, R. s., Schneiderhan-Marra, N., Karch, A., & Lange, B. (2024). Novel multiplex tools in an epidemic panel improve prediction of RSV infection dynamics and disease burden – a RESPINOW analysis. medRxiv, 2024.2011.2020.24317653. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.11.20.24317653

2. Amaral, A. V. R., Wolffram, D., Moraga, P., & Bracher, J. (2024). Post-processing and weighted combination of infectious disease nowcasts. medRxiv, 2024.2008.2028.24312701. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.28.24312701

3. Chaturvedi, M., Rodiah, I., Kretzschmar, M., Scholz, S., Lange, B., Karch, A., & Jaeger, V. K. (2024). Estimating the relative importance of epidemiological and behavioural parameters for epidemic mpox transmission: a modelling study. BMC Medicine, 22(1), 297. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-024-03515-8

4. Dönges, P., Götz, T., Kruchinina, N., Krüger, T., Niedzielewski, K., Priesemann, V., & Schäfer, M. (2024). SIR Model for Households. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 84(4), 1460-1481. https://doi.org/10.1137/23M1556861

5. Harries, M., Jaeger, V. K., Rodiah, I., Hassenstein, M. J., Ortmann, J., Dreier, M., von Holt, I., Brinkmann, M., Dulovic, A., Gornyk, D., Hovardovska, O., Kuczewski, C., Kurosinski, M.-A., Schlotz, M., Schneiderhan-Marra, N., Strengert, M., Krause, G., Sester, M., Klein, F., . . . Lange, B. (2024). Bridging the gap – estimation of 2022/2023 SARS-CoV-2 healthcare burden in Germany based on multidimensional data from a rapid epidemic panel. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 139, 50-58. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2023.11.014

6. Lange, B., Jaeger, V. K., Harries, M., Rücker, V., Streeck, H., Blaschke, S., Petersmann, A., Toepfner, N., Nauck, M., Hassenstein, M. J., Dreier, M., von Holt, I., Budde, A., Bartz, A., Ortmann, J., Kurosinski, M.-A., Berner, R., Borsche, M., Brandhorst, G., . . . Karch, A. (2024). Estimates of protection levels against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in Germany before the 2022/2023 winter season: the IMMUNEBRIDGE project. Infection, 52(1), 139-153. https://doi.org/10.1007/s15010-023-02071-2

7. Marsall, P., Fandrich, M., Griesbaum, J., Harries, M., Lange, B., Consortium, R. S., Ascough, S., Dayananda, P., Chiu, C., Remppis, J., Ganzenmueller, T., Renk, H., Strengert, M., Schneiderhan-Marra, N., & Dulovic, A. (2024). Development and validation of a respiratory syncytial virus multiplex immunoassay. Infection, 52(2), 597-609. https://doi.org/10.1007/s15010-024-02180-6

8. Oróstica, K. Y., Mohr, S. B., Dehning, J., Bauer, S., Medina-Ortiz, D., Iftekhar, E. N., Mujica, K., Covarrubias, P. C., Ulloa, S., Castillo, A. E., Daza-Sánchez, A., Verdugo, R. A., Fernández, J., Olivera-Nappa, Á., Priesemann, V., & Contreras, S. (2024). Early mutational signatures and transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Lambda variants in Chile. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 16000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-66885-2

2023

8. Contreras, S. (2023). Complex Dynamics in the Spread of COVID-19

9. Contreras, S., Iftekhar, E. N., & Priesemann, V. (2023). From emergency response to long-term management: the many faces of the endemic state of COVID-19. The Lancet Regional Health – Europe, 30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2023.100664

10. Contreras, S., Oróstica, K. Y., Daza-Sanchez, A., Wagner, J., Dönges, P., Medina-Ortiz, D., Jara, M., Verdugo, R., Conca, C., Priesemann, V., & Olivera-Nappa, Á. (2023). Model-based assessment of sampling protocols for infectious disease genomic surveillance. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 167, 113093. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.113093

11. Dan, S., Chen, Y., Chen, Y., Monod, M., Jaeger, V. K., Bhatt, S., Karch, A., Ratmann, O., on behalf of the Machine, L., & Global Health, n. (2023). Estimating fine age structure and time trends in human contact patterns from coarse contact data: The Bayesian rate consistency model. PLOS Computational Biology, 19(6), e1011191. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011191

12. Dehning, J., Mohr, S. B., Contreras, S., Dönges, P., Iftekhar, E. N., Schulz, O., Bechtle, P., & Priesemann, V. (2023). Impact of the Euro 2020 championship on the spread of COVID-19. Nature Communications, 14(1), 122. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35512-x

13. Engels, G., Oechsle, A. L., Schlegtendal, A., Maier, C., Holzwarth, S., Streng, A., Lange, B., Karch, A., Petersmann, A., Streeck, H., Blaschke-Steinbrecher, S., Härtel, C., Schroten, H., von Kries, R., Berner, R., Liese, J., Brinkmann, F., & Toepfner, N. (2023). SARS-CoV-2 sero-immunity and quality of life in children and adolescents in relation to infections and vaccinations: the IMMUNEBRIDGE KIDS cross-sectional study, 2022. Infection, 51(5), 1531-1539. https://doi.org/10.1007/s15010-023-02052-5

14. Schulze-Wundling, K., Ottensmeyer, P. F., Meyer-Schlinkmann, K. M., Deckena, M., Krüger, S., Schlinkert, S., Budde, A., Münstermann, D., Töpfner, N., Petersmann, A., Nauck, M., Karch, A., Lange, B., Blaschke, S., Tiemann, C., & Streeck, H. (2023). Grundimmunität gegen SARS-CoV-2 in der deutschen Bevölkerung. Dtsch Arztebl International, 120(19), 337-344. https://www.aerzteblatt.de/int/article.asp?id=230671

15. Schulze-Wundling, K., Ottensmeyer, P. F., Meyer-Schlinkmann, K. M., Deckena, M., Krüger, S., Schlinkert, S., Budde, A., Münstermann, D., Töpfner, N., Petersmann, A., Nauck, M., Karch, A., Lange, B., Blaschke, S., Tiemann, C., & Streeck, H. (2023). Immunity Against SARS-CoV-2 in the German Population. Dtsch Arztebl Int, 120(19), 337-344. https://doi.org/10.3238/arztebl.m2023.0072

16. Wagner, J., Bauer, S., Contreras, S., Fleddermann, L., Parlitz, U., & Priesemann, V. (2023). Societal feedback induces complex and chaotic dynamics in endemic infectious diseases. medRxiv, 2023.2005.2025.23290509. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.05.25.23290509

17. Walde, J., Chaturvedi, M., Berger, T., Bartz, A., Killewald, R., Tomori, D. V., Rübsamen, N., Lange, B., Scholz, S., Treskova, M., Bucksch, K., Jarvis, C. I., Mikolajczyk, R., Karch, A., & Jaeger, V. K. (2023). Effect of risk status for severe COVID-19 on individual contact behaviour during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020/2021—an analysis based on the German COVIMOD study. BMC Infectious Diseases, 23(1), 205. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-023-08175-2

18. Wolffram, D., Abbott, S., an der Heiden, M., Funk, S., Günther, F., Hailer, D., Heyder, S., Hotz, T., van de Kassteele, J., Küchenhoff, H., Müller-Hansen, S., Syliqi, D., Ullrich, A., Weigert, M., Schienle, M., & Bracher, J. (2023). Collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalization incidences in Germany. PLOS Computational Biology, 19(8), e1011394. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011394

19. Zierenberg, J., Paul Spitzner, F., Dehning, J., Priesemann, V., Weigel, M., & Wilczek, M. (2023). How contact patterns destabilize and modulate epidemic outbreaks. New Journal of Physics, 25(5), 053033. https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/acd1a7

2022

20. Bracher, J., Wolffram, D., Deuschel, J., Görgen, K., Ketterer, J. L., Ullrich, A., Abbott, S., Barbarossa, M. V., Bertsimas, D., Bhatia, S., Bodych, M., Bosse, N. I., Burgard, J. P., Castro, L., Fairchild, G., Fiedler, J., Fuhrmann, J., Funk, S., Gambin, A., . . . Schienle, M. (2022). National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021. Communications Medicine, 2(1), 136. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8

21. Lange, B., Jäger, V., Rücker, V., Hassenstein, M., Harries, M., Berner, R., … Karch, A. 2. Interimsanalyse des IMMUNBRIDGE-Projektes zur Kommunikation von vorläufigen Ergebnissen an das Modellierungsnetz für schwere Infektionskrankheiten. Zenodo. 12.10.2022. https://zenodo.org/record/7177592#.Y00D4HZBxaR

22. Lange, B., Jäger, V., Rücker, V., Hassenstein, M., Harries, M., Berner, R., … Karch, A. Interimsanalyse des IMMUNBRIDGE-Projektes zur Kommunikation von vorläufigen Ergebnissen an die Modellierungskonsortien der BMBF-geförderten Modellierungsplattform. Zenodo. 08.08.2022. https://zenodo.org/record/6968574#.YygfsXZBwuU